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BCC: GRF Davos Business Continuity Conference
Models and modeling to assist capacity building for coping with very large-scale disasters
Integrated Risk Governance Project/IHDP, China, People's Republic of
The social-ecological system is a multi-equilibrium system, where random shocks can lead to a shift from one equilibrium to another one. Models of rapid disaster evaluation based on the real-time disaster information and data obtained from various means such as remote sensing images, local media, verbal information and messages from impacted regions etc. become effective and efficient tools that can be easily adopted and implemented by government and emergency agencies. These models can also be used to estimate the impacted areas and populations of the present and the near future. In this session, based on various cases in China, a new generation of models of socio-ecological systems, models that involve heterogeneous agents, combine monetary and nonmonetary processes, and display multiple equilibrium as well as shifts between them with their entry- and exit transitions, will be discussed.